CAR / PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UNDER THREAT: SUDAN-ORIENTED DESTABILIZATION, WHILE THE EMIRATES SUPPORT BANGUI’S STABILITY
As the Central African Republic approaches a presidential election crucial to its future, authorities in Bangui are denouncing a series of maneuvers aimed at destabilizing the country.
According to several security and political sources, Sudanese General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has reportedly deployed more than 2,000 fighters inside the CAR to disrupt the electoral process and prevent the re-election of President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, whose growing popularity is causing concern in Khartoum.
FIGHTERS TRAINED IN SUDAN ALREADY IN THE CAR
According to Central African intelligence, these men come primarily from El-Fasher and the Zaghawa community, recently defeated by General Hemetti’s forces.
These fighters were reportedly trained in Sudanese camps before crossing the border to sow chaos and disrupt the election.
For the Central African authorities, the logic is clear:
Touadéra’s political rise is unsettling to the Sudanese government, which is determined to prevent a victory that would strengthen the Central African president’s regional influence.
A POLITICAL AND REBEL FRONT REFORMING AGAINST TOUADÉRA
In addition to this external pressure, there is an equally worrying internal strategy.
Government sources mention a political and military pact between: Anicet-Georges Dologuélé, an opposition candidate, François Bozizé’s CPC, and Noureddine Adam’s FPRC, which has been based in Sudan for years. Our sources also specify that Noureddine Adam’s men and those of the infamous Armel Sayo have been trained in the use of drones. An unlikely alliance is reportedly being formed, united around a common objective: to overthrow Touadéra.
According to Bangui, Dologuélé has even promised Burhane strategic access to certain areas of the country, allowing Sudan to outflank Hemetti’s forces in the power struggle tearing Khartoum apart.
THE SHADY ROLE OF COLONEL MOUSSA AL-SADIQ
Central African intelligence services also point to a key player: Colonel Moussa Al-Sadiq, presented as one of the architects of the ongoing destabilization.
According to these same sources, Colonel Al-Sadiq openly claimed to be the mastermind behind a vast conspiracy whose ultimate goal was to assassinate President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, physically eliminate several of his pro-independence associates, and overthrow the institutional order in the Central African Republic.
His presence alongside factions hostile to the government, and his direct connections with certain Sudanese military authorities, are fueling concerns in Bangui.
CAR AT THE HEART OF A REGIONAL POWER STRUGGLE
If the accusations are confirmed, the Central African Republic would in fact be at the center of a violent power struggle between the two rival blocs vying for control of Sudan.
The risk of conflagration extends far beyond the borders of the Central African Republic.
Some mercenary units trained in Sudan are reportedly already deployed within the Alliance of Sahel States (ASS), contributing to the destabilization of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger.
In Central African diplomatic circles, the prospect of a jihadist or paramilitary infiltration from Sudan is now considered a strategic threat.
THE DECISIVE ROLE OF THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES IN THE STABILITY OF THE CAR
Amidst this volatile climate, one partner stands out for its unwavering support of Bangui: the United Arab Emirates.
A driving force behind the Central African Republic’s economic rebound
Thanks to recent economic agreements, particularly in the sectors of agriculture, infrastructure, energy, non-oil trade, and formalized mining partnerships,
the CAR is experiencing an unprecedented economic boom. The Emirates have facilitated massive investments, accelerated light industrialization, the development of modernized agricultural projects, a significant increase in bilateral trade, and crucial new financial resources for the state.
A PILLAR OF STABILITY FOR BANGUI
On the security front, Abu Dhabi supports the Central African Republic alongside Russia, offering invaluable diplomatic and logistical support in a context of intensifying external threats.
While Khartoum may be seeking to sow chaos, the Emirates appear as a stabilizing counterweight, committed to strengthening institutional capacities, state authority, and national security. For Bangui, this support is nothing short of essential.
A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UNDER HIGH THREAT
As the election approaches, the risks seem to be multiplying: foreign interference, internal conspiracies, rebel alliances, mercenary networks… Never in years has an election been perceived as so crucial—and so fragile.
One thing is now certain: the battle for power in the Central African Republic is no longer being fought solely in Bangui, but also in Khartoum, Abu Dhabi, and even in the shadowy regions of the Sahel.
The coming days could permanently reshape the political and security balance of the region.